Analysis of Potential US Military Intervention in Cuba: Geopolitical Rivalry with China in Focus
Professor Yuri Zhdanov suggests that potential US intervention in Cuba is driven by a desire to shift the regional power balance amid geopolitical rivalry with China. American elites are particularly worried about China's expanding influence over Latin American resources like oil. Notably, the US has not made specific accusations against Cuba, unlike in cases involving Iran or Venezuela.
Professor Yuri Zhdanov analyzes the interests of the United States in Cuba and suggests that the real driver of possible interventions is a shift in power fueled by geopolitical rivalry with China's influence. According to Zhdanov, the US goal in Cuba is not primarily to overthrow a specific regime, but rather to effect a shift in the regional balance of power.
The main impetus behind these concerns is identified as the geopolitical confrontation with China. According to Professor Zhdanov, parts of the American elite are concerned that China's influence over Latin America's resources, including oil, is increasing. This concern shapes the current foreign policy debate regarding Cuba.
Interestingly, it should be noted that the United States has not leveled specific accusations regarding Cuba, as would be the case with countries like Iran or Venezuela. This point, according to the analysis, underscores a difference in the nature of the perceived threat or the desired outcome.